MX23RW : Thursday, July 28 11:25:00
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Oct 21, 2021 at 5.45pm UK at Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu
Qarabag FK
2 - 1
Kairat
Seydayev (79'), Huseynov (90+1')
Mahammadaliyev (18'), Wadji (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kante (19' pen.)
Alves (64'), Shushenachev (90+5')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Qarabag FK and Kairat.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Kairat had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Kairat win was 0-1 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawKairat
37.17%28.84%33.98%
Both teams to score 45.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.65%61.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74%81.26%
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31%31.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89%68.11%
Kairat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21%33.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55%70.44%
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 37.17%
    Kairat 33.97%
    Draw 28.84%
Qarabag FKDrawKairat
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 7.07%
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.84%
0-1 @ 11.61%
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-2 @ 6.3%
1-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.97%

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