Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
