Leicester City 1-1 Roma - Europa Conference League Semi-Finals - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Roma
50.22%	23.46%	26.32%

Both teams to score 58.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02%

42.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61%

65.39%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78%

17.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48%

47.52%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23%

29.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15%

65.85%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 50.22%

Roma 26.32%

Draw 23.45%

Leicester City	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 5.64% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.94% Total : 50.22%	1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 6.62% 0-1 @ 6.21% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.32%

How Leicester City could line up against Roma

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11

Premier League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Manchester City Man City	38	29	6	3	99	26	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	28	8	2	94	26	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	21	11	6	76	33	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	22	5	11	69	40	29	71
5	Arsenal	38	22	3	13	61	48	13	69
6	Manchester United Man Utd	38	16	10	12	57	57	0	58
7	West Ham United West Ham	38	16	8	14	60	51	9	56
8	Leicester City Leicester	38	14	10	14	62	59	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	12	15	11	42	44	-2	51
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	15	6	17	38	43	-5	51
11	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	13	10	15	44	62	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	11	15	12	50	46	4	48
13	Brentford	38	13	7	18	48	56	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	13	6	19	52	54	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	9	13	16	43	67	-24	40
16	Everton	38	11	6	21	43	66	-23	39
17	Leeds United Leeds	38	9	11	18	42	79	-37	38
R	Burnley	38	7	14	17	34	53	-19	35
R	Watford	38	6	5	27	34	77	-43	23
R	Norwich City Norwich	38	5	7	26	23	84	-61	22