Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
