Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
