SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
18.36% ( -0.2) | 21.04% ( -0.05) | 60.59% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.41% ( -0.08) | 41.58% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.01% ( -0.08) | 63.98% ( 0.07) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( -0.27) | 36.24% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.97% ( -0.27) | 73.02% ( 0.27) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.7% ( 0.05) | 13.29% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.88% ( 0.1) | 40.11% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 18.36% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 60.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 53 | 22 | 31 | 52 |
| 2 | Ajax | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 49 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 47 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 28 | 32 | 46 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 40 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 23 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 20 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 54 | -34 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 18 |
| 17 | Groningen | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 13 |
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