Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw has a probability of 16% and a win for PEC Zwolle has a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline was PSV Eindhoven 2-0 PEC Zwolle with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines were 2-1 (9.31%), 3-0 (9.27%), 1-0 (8.98%). The actual score line of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7%.