Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
