Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
