While the hosts have not been too impressive on home turf, their visitors have struggled defensively on the road all-season long, and we expect that to continue here. We are also backing a narrow victory for NEC come the full-time whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
