Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 51.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Heracles in this match.
