Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
