SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 0-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
18.28% ( 0.13) | 20.06% ( 0.21) | 61.66% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.92% ( -0.81) | 37.08% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.72% ( -0.88) | 59.28% ( 0.87) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% ( -0.35) | 33.64% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.71% ( -0.38) | 70.29% ( 0.38) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.4% ( -0.34) | 11.6% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.42% ( -0.73) | 36.58% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 18.28% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.11)0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 7.08% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.34% Total : 61.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 79 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 53 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 33 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 29 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 16 |
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