Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
