MX23RW : Thursday, January 26 00:48:12
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Feb 5, 2022 at 5.45pm UK at Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Sittard
2 - 0
Heerenveen
Flemming (14', 70')
Rienstra (77'), Angha (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Haye (90+2')

We said: Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Heerenveen

The home side have been all over the place defensively all-season long, which is something that the visitors will be looking to capitalise on. We fancy Heerenveen to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Fortuna SittardDrawHeerenveen
32.38%25.51%42.11%
Both teams to score 55.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.28%48.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.18%70.82%
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55%28.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79%64.21%
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99%23.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19%56.81%
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Sittard 32.38%
    Heerenveen 42.11%
    Draw 25.5%
Fortuna SittardDrawHeerenveen
1-0 @ 8.23%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 5.17%
3-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.38%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 7.07%
1-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 42.11%

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Eredivisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1AZ AlkmaarAZ18123335191639
2Feyenoord17115140152538
3PSV EindhovenPSV18112545232235
4FC Twente18105330111935
5Ajax1796246192733
6Sparta RotterdamSparta1895429161332
7FC UtrechtUtrecht188552726129
8Heerenveen187651918127
9NECNijmegen1741032318522
10RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk174762630-419
11Go Ahead Eagles174762630-419
12Fortuna SittardSittard185492332-919
13SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior1861111939-2019
14Vitesse183782034-1416
15EmmenEmmen183691532-1715
16Groningen1733111836-1812
17FC VolendamVolendam1733111842-2412
18Cambuur172312928-199
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