Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 82.85%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 5.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.36%) and 4-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.35%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Feyenoord in this match.
