Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
