MX23RW : Sunday, May 21 19:24:09
SM
Sunday, May 21
FU
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 16, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
A
Utrecht
0 - 3
Ajax

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')

We said: FC Utrecht 1-3 Ajax

With a chance to reclaim top spot albeit temporarily, Ajax will be fired up for the clash, and we are tipping them to come away with all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
14.56%18.53%66.91%
Both teams to score 55.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.9%37.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7%59.3%
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.9%38.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13%74.87%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.75%10.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.41%33.6%
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 14.56%
    Ajax 66.91%
    Draw 18.53%
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.14%
1-0 @ 3.77%
2-0 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-1 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 14.56%
1-1 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.72%
0-0 @ 3.91%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.53%
0-2 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-1 @ 8.9%
0-3 @ 7.7%
1-3 @ 7.43%
0-4 @ 4.38%
1-4 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.58%
2-4 @ 2.04%
0-5 @ 2%
1-5 @ 1.93%
2-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 66.91%

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Eredivisie Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFeyenoord33257181295282
2PSV EindhovenPSV33226587394872
3Ajax33209485355069
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33207667333467
5FC Twente331710663263761
6Sparta RotterdamSparta33168955371856
7FC UtrechtUtrecht33149105248451
8Heerenveen331110124250-843
9RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk33118145060-1041
10Go Ahead Eagles331010134654-840
11NECNijmegen33814114144-338
12Vitesse33910144450-637
13Fortuna SittardSittard33105183861-2335
14FC VolendamVolendam3396183969-3033
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior3395193068-3832
16EmmenEmmen33610173162-3128
RGroningen3346233170-3918
RCambuur3344252269-4716
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