Ajax have been firing on all cylinders and are big favourites to emerge triumphant in this one. We fancy them to get the job done and secure all three points come the full-time whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.03%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 11.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
