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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 10
Jun 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion
Sarpsborg
5 - 1
Stromsgodset
Molins (14'), Heintz (18', 90+3'), Saletros (38' pen., 45' pen.)
Horn (12'), Odegaard (75')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Enersen (45+2')
Salvesen (40')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Stromsgodset.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jerv 0-5 Sarpsborg
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 3-2 Viking FK
Saturday, May 28 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawStromsgodset
42.06% (-0.857 -0.86) 25.73% (-0.133 -0.13) 32.21% (0.988 0.99)
Both teams to score 54.28% (0.83 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26% (0.895 0.9)49.73% (-0.899 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.26% (0.796 0.8)71.74% (-0.798 -0.8)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)23.47% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)57.49% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Stromsgodset Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (1.111 1.11)29.07% (-1.112 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (1.35 1.35)64.98% (-1.353 -1.35)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 42.06%
    Stromsgodset 32.21%
    Draw 25.72%
Sarpsborg 08DrawStromsgodset
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.372 -0.37)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.17% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.06%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.82% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.128 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.183 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.13 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.168 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.117 0.12)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Jerv 0-5 Sarpsborg
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-2 Molde
Thursday, May 26 at 7pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-2 Aalesund
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-0 Sarpsborg
Monday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-0 Odd
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 2-5 Sarpsborg
Sunday, April 24 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 3-2 Viking FK
Saturday, May 28 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Stromsgodset
Wednesday, May 25 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 3-2 Valerenga
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Kristiansund 0-3 Stromsgodset
Monday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Viking FK 0-0 Stromsgodset
Thursday, May 12 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 3-0 Rosenborg
Sunday, May 8 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt18132345212441
2Viking FKViking FK17122339241538
3Tromso ILTromso17113326151136
4MoldeMolde18103541212033
5SK BrannBrann189363023730
6Lillestrom179263326729
7Odd187472119225
8RosenborgRosenborg187472325-225
9Sarpsborg 08Sarpsborg187383033-324
10StromsgodsetStromsgodset187292223-123
11FK HaugesundHaugesund175391625-918
12SandefjordSandefjord174582735-817
13Stabaek FootballStabaek174491729-1216
14HamKam1751112039-1916
15Valerenga FotballValerenga1642102129-814
16Aalesund1731131236-2410
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