Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Rosenborg had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Rosenborg win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
