Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 12.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
