MX23RW : Saturday, April 1 21:25:56
SM
Saturday, April 1
Dec 1, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Alexandra Stadium
Crewe
2 - 0
Doncaster
Knight (33'), Finney (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knoyle (45'), Anderson (71')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Crewe Alexandra and Doncaster Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
43.5%25.3%31.2%
Both teams to score 55.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77%48.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62%70.38%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87%22.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49%55.51%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02%28.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12%64.88%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 43.5%
    Doncaster Rovers 31.2%
    Draw 25.3%
Crewe AlexandraDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 4.54%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.94%
1-2 @ 7.42%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.2%

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