Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
