Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.