Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%).