Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newport County in this match.
