Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
