SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | MVV Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
51.85% ( -0.27) | 23.17% ( -0.19) | 24.98% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 57.75% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.12% ( 1.26) | 42.87% ( -1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.72% ( 1.24) | 65.28% ( -1.24) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( 0.36) | 16.58% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.61% ( 0.65) | 46.38% ( -0.65) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( 1.05) | 30.77% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.96% ( 1.22) | 67.03% ( -1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.41)2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.26% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.9% Total : 24.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 88 | 37 | 51 | 76 |
| 2 | Heracles | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 73 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 63 |
| 4 | Willem II | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 60 |
| 5 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61 | 58 | 3 | 56 |
| 6 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 57 | 57 | 0 | 53 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 51 |
| 9 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 46 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 46 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 46 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 44 |
| 13 | Roda JC | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 41 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 40 |
| 16 | Helmond SportHelmond | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 38 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 33 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 44 | 79 | -35 | 33 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 32 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 26 |
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