Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 59.93%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 20.24% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 3-1 (7.14%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
