Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
