Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.