Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
