Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Independiente and San Lorenzo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
