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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Dec 3, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio B.G. Estanislao Lopez
AT
Colon
3 - 0
Tucuman
Piovi (15'), Bernardi (28'), Castro (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Colon and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colon would win this match.

Result
ColonDrawAtletico Tucuman
54.18%24.78%21.04%
Both teams to score 47.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.43%53.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92%75.08%
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27%19.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25%51.74%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.68%40.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.06%76.94%
Score Analysis
    Colon 54.17%
    Atletico Tucuman 21.04%
    Draw 24.77%
ColonDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 12.9%
2-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 9.52%
3-0 @ 5.67%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-2 @ 2.34%
4-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 54.17%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.22%
1-2 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 3.28%
1-3 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 21.04%

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