Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
