Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Aldosivi had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Aldosivi win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
