Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.