MX23RW : Tuesday, May 2 20:03:33
SM
Tuesday, May 2
AM
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2022 at 1am UK
Mineirão
Atletico Mineiro
1 - 2
Tolima
Sasha (88')
Guga (13'), Ademir (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rangel (55'), Lucumi (90+2')
Trujillo (52'), Urena (59'), Ramirez (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Tolima
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Tolima vs. Flamengo
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima must avoid defeat on Wednesday as failure to do so could spell an end to their hopes of a place in the next round. They head into the game unbeaten in each of their last 10 outings and we predict they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils against the hosts who have already secured qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.81%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawDeportes Tolima
62.98% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 23.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 13.75% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 39.07% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.87% (0.038000000000004 0.04)58.12% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.21% (0.031000000000002 0.03)78.79% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87% (0.019999999999996 0.02)18.13% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.9% (0.031999999999996 0.03)49.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Deportes Tolima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.72% (0.026999999999994 0.03)52.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)86.18% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 62.97%
    Deportes Tolima 13.75%
    Draw 23.26%
Atletico MineiroDrawDeportes Tolima
1-0 @ 16.18% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 62.97%
1-1 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 3.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 13.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Independiente
Thursday, May 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Atletico GO
Saturday, May 14 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, May 12 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 America Mineiro
Saturday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Goias 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Tolima 2-2 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 19 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 1-0 Independiente
Thursday, May 5 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: America Mineiro 2-3 Tolima
Wednesday, April 27 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 2-2 Tolima
Thursday, April 14 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 0-2 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 1-2 Bragantino
Wednesday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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