MX23RW : Sunday, February 26 00:26:24
SM
EFL Cup final: 16 hrs 3 mins
Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK at Iberostar Estadi
Mallorca
2 - 1
Espanyol
Kubo (32'), Prats (60')
Costa (9'), Ruiz de Galarreta (75'), Battaglia (82'), Kang-in (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Puado (62')
Pedrosa (17'), Gomez (31'), Puado (70'), Vidal (80')
Pedrosa (90+7')

We said: Mallorca 1-2 Espanyol (A.E.T.)

Neither side have been spectacular so far in this competition, so we expect to see a tight game with chances at a premium. Espanyol have shown a bit more consistency versus top-flight teams this season and have done a good job of keeping their games close, whereas Mallorca have been a little too unpredictable in La Liga. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 45.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
MallorcaDrawEspanyol
26.85%27.38%45.76%
Both teams to score 46.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.56%58.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.97%79.03%
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.38%37.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.61%74.39%
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49%25.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65%60.35%
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 26.85%
    Espanyol 45.76%
    Draw 27.38%
MallorcaDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 9.38%
2-1 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 4.59%
3-1 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.5%
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 13.1%
0-2 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 8.76%
0-3 @ 4.08%
1-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-4 @ 1.39%
1-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.76%

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