SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Anguilla had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Anguilla win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Anguilla |
42.61% ( -0.02) | 25.49% ( 0) | 31.9% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( 0) | 48.8% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( 0) | 70.9% ( 0) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( -0.01) | 22.8% ( 0.01) |
