Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 66%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Qingdao had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Qingdao win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
