SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Shanghai Port | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Guangzhou | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Guangzhou | 5 | -8 | 3 |
| 12 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 4 | -2 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
38.41% ( -0.36) | 28.58% ( -0.16) | 33% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 45.82% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.43% ( 0.64) | 60.56% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.33% ( 0.48) | 80.66% ( -0.48) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% ( 0.11) | 30.53% ( -0.11) |
