Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
