Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Port in this match.
