Chinese Super League | Gameweek 4
Jun 16, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
Shandong
4 - 0
Changchun
We said: Shandong Taishan 2-1 Changchun Yatai
Although there is only a point between the sides after three matches, Shandong Taishan usually fare well on home turf against Thursday's opponents and we think that the hosts will do enough to clinch a fourth consecutive home victory over Changchun.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
34.48% ( 2.18) | 28.65% ( 0.23) | 36.86% ( -2.41) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.31) |
| 39.34% ( -0.54) | 60.66% ( 0.54) |
| 19.26% ( -0.41) | 80.74% ( 0.41) |
| 66.92% ( 1.22) | 33.08% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.32% ( 1.33) | 69.67% ( -1.33) |
| 68.46% ( -1.74) | 31.54% ( 1.74) |
