Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
