MX23RW : Tuesday, August 23 19:51:34
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Tuesday, August 23

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawDerby County
56.1%22.49%21.41%
Both teams to score 55.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.3%43.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.91%66.09%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59%15.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.78%44.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65%34.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.95%71.05%
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 56.1%
    Derby County 21.41%
    Draw 22.48%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 9.9%
2-1 @ 9.89%
2-0 @ 9.26%
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.88%
4-0 @ 2.7%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-1 @ 1.08%
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 56.1%
1-1 @ 10.57%
0-0 @ 5.29%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.66%
1-2 @ 5.65%
0-2 @ 3.02%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.41%

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