MX23RW : Saturday, March 4 20:57:26
SM
Saturday, March 4
Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Liberty Stadium
Swansea
0 - 1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Luton Town

Given their respective situations, neither team can really afford a draw on Tuesday, particularly Luton whose playoffs ambitions are far more realistic. Nevertheless, we see a low-scoring draw playing out in South Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
41.58%28.03%30.4%
Both teams to score 46.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.79%59.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37%79.63%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95%28.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29%63.71%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.79%35.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.03%71.97%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.57%
    Luton Town 30.4%
    Draw 28.02%
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 10.31%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 5.38%
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 30.4%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley352211268284077
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd34197855312464
3Middlesbrough351861161402160
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn35184133938158
5Luton TownLuton35151284334957
6Norwich CityNorwich351671251391255
7Millwall35159114538754
8Coventry CityCoventry351410114134752
9Watford351312104138351
10Sunderland351310125043749
11West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom34139124438648
12Preston North EndPreston351211123038-847
13Hull City35129144048-845
14Bristol City341111124343044
15Reading34135163853-1544
16Stoke CityStoke35127164442243
17Swansea CitySwansea351110144752-543
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham35913134047-740
19Birmingham CityBirmingham35109163947-839
20Queens Park RangersQPR35109163652-1639
21Cardiff CityCardiff35108172738-1138
22Blackpool35711173351-1832
23Wigan AthleticWigan34711163153-2232
24Huddersfield TownHuddersfield3487193051-2131
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