Swansea City 2-1 Derby County - Championship - April 9, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

There is much more on the line for Derby but we cannot ignore the Rams' dreadful record away from home. Swansea are enjoying a good run of form and we think that the Welsh side will be victorious on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Derby County
53.62%	24.54%	21.85%

Both teams to score 49.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.23%

51.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.46%

73.54%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.75%

19.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.03%

50.97%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.53%

38.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.78%

75.22%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 53.61%

Derby County 21.85%

Draw 24.53%

Swansea City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.96% Total : 53.61%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.08% 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.52% Total : 21.85%

Head to Head

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Premier League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Leeds United Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Leicester City Leicester	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Manchester City Man City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Manchester United Man Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Newcastle United Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	West Ham United West Ham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

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21 Barcelona 'agree £42.5m deal for Robert Lewandowski'

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28 Tuchel: 'Chelsea want Broja impact, not sale'

29 Klopp rules Diogo Jota out of Community Shield clash

30 Ajax eye Rangers defender Bassey as Martinez replacement?

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32 Chelsea announce Kalidou Koulibaly signing

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66 new articles in last day; last new at 20:25

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Birmingham City Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Blackpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Cardiff City Cardiff	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Coventry City Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Huddersfield Town Huddersfield	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Luton Town Luton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Norwich City Norwich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Preston North End Preston	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Reading	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Rotherham United Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Stoke City Stoke	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Swansea City Swansea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	Watford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	Wigan Athletic Wigan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

Derby County

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Derby County

Data Analysis

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TRENDING STORIES

Man United 'stepping up transfer talks with PSV over Sangare'

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Brian Brobbey 'calls Ten Hag to turn down Man United move'

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